Thursday, October 11, 2007

National Poll: You have plans when it starts raining. What do you do? Keep my plans or Change my plans?


Keep my plans: 67.1%
Change my plans: 32.9%
Men: 67.2% 32.8%
Women: 66.9% 33.1%
Prediction Accuracy: 49.5%

Was this question poorly framed? I kind of think so, but maybe that's the bitterness of loosing the prediction still talking. When I read this, I was thinking outdoor plans because they're the only type of plans affected by rain, aren't they? Apparently not, since I was not in the majority. Or was I? According to the Prediction Accuracy, this was an upset. Most people think that plans would change, even though they wouldn't be the ones to change them. So, poorly framed question or poorly predicted answer?

1 comment:

Damian G. said...

So, poorly framed question or poorly predicted answer?

Definitely the former. If you're going to see a movie, why should the weather - within reason, of course - affect your plans?

Ironically, it was raining when I found out this result, and it didn't affect my plans at all!!!